Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.003237 0.003394 0.003554 0.003730 0.003918 0.004113 0.004331
2025-06-01 0.002956 0.003189 0.003436 0.003719 0.004035 0.004377 0.004778
2025-06-08 0.002764 0.003039 0.003338 0.003689 0.004093 0.004546 0.005094
2025-06-15 0.002597 0.002897 0.003230 0.003631 0.004102 0.004643 0.005317
2025-06-22 0.002464 0.002782 0.003142 0.003582 0.004110 0.004730 0.005522
2025-06-29 0.002379 0.002715 0.003102 0.003584 0.004173 0.004879 0.005803
2025-07-06 0.002246 0.002586 0.002981 0.003479 0.004099 0.004854 0.005859
2025-07-13 0.002182 0.002535 0.002951 0.003482 0.004153 0.004986 0.006118
2025-07-20 0.002148 0.002518 0.002958 0.003530 0.004264 0.005192 0.006480
2025-07-27 0.002079 0.002454 0.002906 0.003499 0.004271 0.005261 0.006661
2025-08-03 0.002019 0.002400 0.002863 0.003477 0.004287 0.005340 0.006856
2025-08-10 0.001960 0.002345 0.002816 0.003449 0.004292 0.005404 0.007030
2025-08-17 0.001940 0.002338 0.002831 0.003501 0.004406 0.005621 0.007434
2025-08-24 0.001894 0.002296 0.002800 0.003490 0.004435 0.005721 0.007674
2025-08-31 0.001843 0.002247 0.002757 0.003463 0.004439 0.005785 0.007862
2025-09-07 0.001785 0.002187 0.002697 0.003409 0.004404 0.005791 0.007961
2025-09-14 0.001733 0.002133 0.002645 0.003364 0.004378 0.005809 0.008078
2025-09-21 0.001703 0.002107 0.002627 0.003366 0.004419 0.005922 0.008348
2025-09-28 0.001636 0.002031 0.002542 0.003270 0.004315 0.005821 0.008273
2025-10-05 0.001610 0.002008 0.002527 0.003272 0.004354 0.005930 0.008538
2025-10-12 0.001601 0.002007 0.002541 0.003317 0.004455 0.006136 0.008971
2025-10-19 0.001565 0.001971 0.002506 0.003288 0.004446 0.006175 0.009128
2025-10-26 0.001534 0.001939 0.002477 0.003268 0.004449 0.006230 0.009314